Posted by
Joel Gaines on Wednesday, January 16, 2008 12:34:37 PM
This should be seen as the Kremlin further flexing its muscle toward Europe.
Gazprom set to take over Serbian oil and gas company
The European Commission is worried about energy giant Gazprom’s
regional expansion because it is ready to buy a controlling stake worth
a billion euros in Naftna Industrija Srbije (NIS), or the Petroleum
Industry of Serbia, the largest state-owned national oil and gas
company.
Experts said the deal would be closed during President Vladimir Putin’s visit to Serbia on January 18.
Other customers were deterred because of the minority stake’s $550
million price, the need for additional investment and other prohibitive
barriers.
Troika Dialog analyst, Valery Nesterov, said the Serbian company now offered more attractive terms for would-be investors.
Serbian authorities decided that a strategic investor would first buy a
minority stake, and that majority stakes would subsequently be sold and
top managers hired.
Nesterov said Gazprom had made the most attractive offer, and one that
Belgrade could not refuse because otherwise it risked losing a
promising gas project.
Gazprom will pay 400 million euros for a 51% stake in NIS and will
invest the remaining 600 million euros into corporate development. The
energy giant also promised to assist in the construction of the 400-km
South Stream gas pipeline system worth $800 million, due to pass
through Serbia.
Moreover, Gazprom offered strategic partnership in building a gas reservoir in Banatski Dvor, Serbia.
Timur Khairullin, an analyst with the Antanta Capital brokerage, said
politicians and corporate officials had virtually coordinated the deal,
and that Serbia’s Minister of Economy and Regional Development Mladan
Dinkic who had previously claimed that the NIS stake was worth 2
billion euros, would resign from a commission examining the bilateral
contract.
Commenting on the European Commission’s nervous reaction, Khairullin
said any company had the right to sell their assets to anyone, and that
its objections seemed far-fetched.
Nesterov said Gazprom had recently eliminated gas shortages in Greece
and Turkey after Iran curtailed gas exports. The company did this by
pumping more gas along the Blue Stream pipeline linking Russia and
Turkey via the Black Sea.
“Instead of trying to create artificial competition for Gazprom, the
European Commission should adopt a more constructive stand,” Nesterov
said.
Here are some things to consider:
Oil:
- 45% of EU oil imports originate from the Middle East;
- by 2030, 90% of EU oil consumption will have to be covered by imports
Gas:
- 40% of EU gas imports originate from Russia (30% Algeria, 25% Norway);
- By 2030, over 60% of EU gas imports are expected to come from Russia with overall external dependency expected to reach 80%.
Coal:
- By 2030, 66% of EU needs is expected to be covered by imports.
Russia does not need to join the EU - the EU will be at the Kremlin’s feet.